The Azores anticyclone

The Azores anticyclone

The regional elections in the Azores Archipelago did not disappoint the country and provided an excellent test tube for the Legislatures, forcing political parties to take extra care due to the possible reading taken from them and predictable continental conditioning.

Some important conclusions emerged from these islands, corroborated by various opinion studies and national surveys to date. The Portuguese do not intend to give an absolute majority to anyone, abstention could be reduced, the Right will have a parliamentary majority and the two main parties will be faced with the decision of whether or not to enable a minority victory for the main opponent, if they wish to prevent an arrival to the power of the extreme right.

The Left, convinced that it will grow more strongly if the Right is in power, could face its greatest dilemma, forced to choose between its exclusively partisan aims with later gains or the defense of the national interest.

The Right, with the PSD aware that it will lose voters, in the medium term, if it enters into a post-election agreement with the extreme right, will need to resist the temptation of immediate power, maintaining a temporary distance. To this end, in order to prevent devastating impacts on the continent, any understanding in the name of government stability in the Azores can only happen after March 10th.

In this equation, the popular will runs the risk of being forgotten, despite this being the main reason for the elections. If the extreme right obtains the significant result indicated in the polls in the country, making voters’ choices compatible with the parties’ strategy, without defrauding them, will be the biggest challenge on the table. And recent events, where justice cases and permanent demonstrations from various sectors proliferate, do not help at all.

When the President of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, recognized at the World Economic Forum in Davos that disinformation and the widespread dissemination of false information constitute the greatest threat to democracy, polarizing societies, we should be worried. Adding this situation to the widespread unpreparedness of political staff and most leaders, as well as the fact that Portugal has the highest youth emigration rate in Europe, the horizon of hope becomes even darker. If our country was as good as some claim, thirty percent of young people between 15 and 39 years old, born in Portugal, had not decided to emigrate, as shown in the Emigration Observatory’s estimate.

The Azores were unable to hide the fact that AD needs Chega, leaving doubts in the air as to whether the agreement signed between PSD, CDS-PP and PPM for Legislative, European and Local Governments includes a hidden consensus with the extreme right, to be formalized later . Faced with the frustration of younger people and various professional classes, we live in the perfect scenario for extremism eager to govern and dominate the political space on the Right.


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