Aid to Ukraine – how the delay in aid affects the front and air defense capabilities, what are the threats – ISW analysis

Aid to Ukraine – how the delay in aid affects the front and air defense capabilities, what are the threats – ISW analysis

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The Russian occupation forces in Ukraine are exhausted, suffer from low morale, and also use blocking units to prevent their soldiers from retreating. And even in such conditions Russia’s ability to use Ukraine’s vulnerable places will expand due to a lack of material resources in the Armed Forces.

This was emphasized by analysts of the American Institute for the Study of War (ISW). They noted that there is a deficit of military aid from partners can make it harder for Ukrainian troops to protect themselves from Russian forces.

Analysts drew attention to the fact that the invaders in eastern Ukraine began to use smaller groups to carry out assaults, although earlier, during the capture of Bakhmut and Avdeevka, they resorted to mass frontal infantry attacks. The representative of the National Guard of Ukraine, Colonel Ruslan Muzychuk, said that Ukrainian drones destroyed or disabled about 70 percent of Russian armored vehicles.

At the same time, as noted in ISW, despite such successes of the Ukrainians, the “culmination” should not be expected in the near future.

“ISW has previously assessed how low morale and exhaustion of the Russians affect the prospects of Russian offensive operations, but the current lack of material resources in Ukraine can make it difficult for Ukrainian troops to defend against Russian forces – even exhausted and unmotivated,” analysts noted.

In addition, in an interview with PBS News Hour, the President of Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelensky, stated that there is a shortage of anti-aircraft defense systems and artillery prevents Ukraine from effectively defending itself against Russian strikes and ground assaults. He reported that now Ukrainian forces are being tested shortage of artillery shells from 1 to 10 and that this allows Russian forces to repel Ukrainian forces every day.

“ISW continues to assess that the US continues to delay providing security assistance to Ukraine limit the ability of Ukrainian forces to conduct effective defense operationswhile giving the Russian forces flexibility in conducting offensive operations – a dynamic that can lead to a narrowing and non-linear opportunities for the Russian forces to generate significant operational income in the future,” the analysts emphasized.

They added that only the United States can quickly provide Ukraine with air defense systems on the necessary scale and significantly increase Ukraine’s air defense capabilities.

As reported by OBOZ.UA:

– President Zelensky said that without military assistance from the United States, Ukraine would have no chance of defeating Russia. He noted that if Ukraine suffers a defeat in this war, Russia will not stop, the war will also be in other countries, and American soldiers will also have to fight.

– The ISW stated that Russia is trying to take advantage of the delays in Western aid to Ukraine in order to improve its position at the front. The enemy is concentrating its efforts on the east of the country in an attempt to break through the defense of the Ukrainian troops.

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