Does Spain have a chance of winning Eurovision? What the bets say about Nebulossa’s ‘Zorra’ one month before the festival

Since he won the victory in the Alicante city, the song that will represent us in Malmö (Sweden) He has been the protagonist of many criticisms, especially regarding his lyrics. And it has not been good for many sectors of society that an issue «feminist, equality and empowerment»as its authors define it, be chosen for this festival, considering that the proposal leaves much to be desired.

Despite the negative comments that his election to compete for the crystal microphone, María Blas and her husband, Mark Dasousa, members of the duo, will go all out next May. They will do it with the bets against them, because, for the moment, it seems that the ‘eurofans’ They are not placed among the favorites to win.

But does Nebulossa have a chance of winning Eurovision on May 11? Who are the favorites to win the Song Festival according to the bets, one month before the contest takes place? This will be the winner if the predictions come true.

This will be the winner of Eurovision 2024 according to bets

Everything can still change in the battle for the Crystal Microphone on May 11, but the truth is that the betting houses have already brought out the top favorites to compete for Eurovision 2024. Although these results do not have to conform to reality, it is common for these to be the ones who will end up taking the trophy home first – this is what happened with Kalush Orchestra (Ukraine) in 2022 and with Loreen (Sweden) in 2023─.

At the moment, it seems that the one who stands out as the big favorite is the rapper Nemowho aspires to win with his theme ‘The Code’. The non-binary artist has positioned himself in first position, with almost a 22% chance of winning according to the Eurovision World portal, thanks to this revolutionary song that, in the words of the vocalist, is about the journey he began when he realized that he is neither a man nor a woman. However, the representative of Swiss He has not been the first to place himself in the Top 1 to win Eurovision 2024 on the main betting portals.

Until a few weeks ago, he was the Croatian singer Marko Purisicbetter known artistically as Baby Lasagnawho was number 1 in the ranking with his song ‘Rim Tim Tagi Dim’, which tells of the emigration of a young man from the countryside to the city to build a better future. Although its lighting effects, pyrotechnics and attractive visuals of the proposal of Croatia had managed to make it one of the favorites for Eurofans, the song began to lose strength (it maintains a 15% chance of winning) and gave this first position to the Swiss representative.

Another great favorite is the Italian Angelina Mango, which, after its triumph at the San Remo Festival, managed to position itself among the big bets for next May 11. The 22-year-old singer managed to prevail with ‘The Noia’ to big names in music like Mahmood or Il Volo and also to strong candidates like Geolier (‘IP’ Me, Tu P’ Te’) or Annalisa (‘Sincerely’). All this success has allowed him to raise Italy up to third position, according to the betting houses, which give him a 12% chance of winning one month away from the contest.

This is the top 10 favorites to win Eurovision according to the betting houses one month before the festival takes place:

What position will Nebulossa be in according to the bets?

Spain, for its part, does not follow the trail of success of other European countries with Nebula as a representative. The song ‘Zorra’ has not yet caught on with the Eurovision audience and continues to fight at the bottom of the table, with a 1% chance of winning according to the betting houses, and located in the 26th out of 37 countries who participate this year in the festival.

All of this does not mean that Spain is last, far from it, since other candidates who have a guaranteed position, such as Germany, are well below the Spanish proposal. However, as we have mentioned previously, what the betting houses say It does not have to be fulfilled 100% ─In the case of Blanca Paloma, the bets placed her in a much better position than what she finally obtained in the contest.

What seems clear is that we will have to wait until next May 11 to discover if, finally, ‘Zorra’ will fight to improve the results of previous years and to lift the Crystal Microphone.